Menlo Park City Council Election Analysis
Original post made by Hank Lawrence, Menlo Park: Sharon Heights, on Nov 16, 2012
Ray Mueller cam in first with 5627 votes.
Catherine Carlton came in second with 5296 votes.
Kelly Fergusson came in 3rd with 5060 votes.
Mueller came in first in 9 precincts.
Fergusson came in first in 5 precincts.
Carlton came in first in 3 precincts.
Ignoring the 4432 which had a 3-way tie for second Carlton and Fergusson each had second place finishes in 7 precincts and Mueller had a second place finish in 6 precincts
For out of the money (3rd place or worse)
Carlton finished out of the money in 10 precincts
Fergusson finished out of the money in 7 precincts
Mueller finished out of the money in 6 precincts.
So how did Fergusson lose to Carlton?
Carlton crushed Fergusson in 3 precincts
In the 4421 Carlton beat Fergusson by 271 votesk
In the 4423 Carlton beat Fergusson by 235 votes, and
In the 4426 Carlton beat Fergusson by 263 votes.
These 3 precincts alone gave Carleton a 796 vote advantage which was enough for second place with Fergusson trailing by 236 votes in the overall city vote.
The race is over for Fergusson. If she has not already conceded she should do so. There is no way she can make up this deficit. Not even ACORN can help her at this point. The next count will be given November 21 at 4:30 PM. The election will be certified no later than 4:30 PM on December 4, 2012.