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Election day predictions - National races

Original post made by Tuck, Menlo Park: Allied Arts/Stanford Park, on Nov 7, 2016

Long season, eh? Whaddaya thinking?

My humble guesses below:

Trump gets Ohio, loses Nevada, Florida due to the Latino surge he created. Clinton ends up with 310+ EV. Beats Trump by 5% of vote.

Senate - 50 seats each.

House - dems pick up a half dozen

Governors - Republicans lose a couple, maybe 3

Comments (19)

Posted by Federales
a resident of Menlo Park: Sharon Heights
on Nov 7, 2016 at 11:21 am

Clinton plus 7. A mandate.

Of course, Trump will declare a mandate even at -4.

The only question - will Trump give a concession speech? If so, I would pay per view it if he promises to not use a teleprompter!


Posted by Tuck
a resident of Menlo Park: Allied Arts/Stanford Park
on Nov 8, 2016 at 6:17 am

Trump was fairly defeated at his last rally in Michigan last night. The cold hard reality of failure hits a guy like that pretty hard. Federale has a point - what public face will Trump put on it. It will be over early if the Latino vote in Florida swings the state decisively. An 8pm est call of FL will tell us if Trump is done early. Even if an hour later. Depends when they release the early vote totals.


Posted by resident
a resident of Menlo Park: Downtown
on Nov 8, 2016 at 8:17 am

My prediction: Trump may get 50% of the white male vote, but will be trounced by women and all non-white ethnic groups. Definitely the most divisive major party candidate since the civil war.


Posted by Burr H
a resident of Menlo Park: Stanford Hills
on Nov 8, 2016 at 9:42 am

But he claimed Brady and BeliChek supported him! Another lie. Listening to both candidates last night was enlightening. I pray she wipes him off the map.

Funny tho... he had ted nugent. And Maines about Bey!


Posted by Bud Luv
a resident of Menlo Park: other
on Nov 8, 2016 at 12:31 pm

Last night, one candidate offered plans and hope for the future; the other claimed that "the world hates us".

Guess which one Fox likes.

Do a search on Susan B Anthony and tombstone.

Stickers!!!!!!


Posted by reconciliation
a resident of Atherton: other
on Nov 9, 2016 at 12:36 am


Congratulations to Trump,

A very classy speech,

Ball's in Clinton's Court, I'm sure she will step up.


Posted by HelloHanalei
a resident of Menlo Park: Suburban Park/Lorelei Manor/Flood Park Triangle
on Nov 9, 2016 at 12:47 am

HelloHanalei is a registered user.

Our country has gone insane. To elevate such a hateful, unqualified, temperamentally unsuitable person to the highest office in the land is a disgrace and a national shame. God only knows where we go from here.


Posted by reconciliation
a resident of Atherton: other
on Nov 9, 2016 at 1:10 am

I'm glad you said our country, 289 to 218, w/ Ca. and NY. already in the bag. It was equivalent to a landslide.

I'm very hopeful he will work with both sides.

Suggest we all do the same


Posted by HelloHanalei
a resident of Menlo Park: Suburban Park/Lorelei Manor/Flood Park Triangle
on Nov 9, 2016 at 1:27 am

HelloHanalei is a registered user.

"I'm very hopeful he will work with both sides."

Your hope is touching, Reconciliation, but I can't imagine what, given Trump's behavior and hateful, misogynistic, bigoted, racist rhetoric during the campaign, would lead you to believe he'll do anything other than go after his enemies and dismantle every social, environmental, and humanistic program enacted in this country over the last 50 years.


Posted by reconciliation
a resident of Atherton: other
on Nov 9, 2016 at 1:31 am


I am hopeful and so are many more woman than any pollster predicted.

We are a country that needs to heal and I would have said that if Clinton won.

We can fight anytime so why not try to get along to start.


Posted by HelloHanalei
a resident of Menlo Park: Suburban Park/Lorelei Manor/Flood Park Triangle
on Nov 9, 2016 at 2:12 am

HelloHanalei is a registered user.

Trump has been telling the American people for the past 9 months exactly what he'd do if elected.

On Hillary Clinton: "Lock her up."

On nuclear weapons: "Why not use them?"

On Mexico: "Build a wall."

On China: Enact trade sanctions.

On women who have abortions: Put them in prison.

On universal health care: Dismantle the existing program, and wash your hands of anyone left uninsured.

On climate change: Pretend it doesn't exist.

On women: Grab 'em by the you-know-what.

On gay and trains people: Strip them of their right to marry.

On people of color: Who cares? They'll just kill each other, anyway.

Trump is like the bad boyfriend who tells you EXACTLY who he is on your first date, but you're so smitten you let it go in one ear and out the other. Then, 6 months later when he turns into a monster, you're stunned that such a nice guy could behave so badly.

I'm all for getting along, but this man cares about no one but himself and his cronies. If it doesn't benefit Trump, it won't happen. He'll reach out just far enough to push the other side off a cliff, and anyone who believes otherwise is living in a dream world of their own making.


Posted by resident
a resident of Menlo Park: Downtown
on Nov 9, 2016 at 9:05 am

News reports say Clinton is winning the popular vote 48% to 45%. Trump is winning the electoral vote by winning the lower populated midwestern and southern states that are over-represented in the electoral college.


Posted by Joe
a resident of Menlo Park: Allied Arts/Stanford Park
on Nov 9, 2016 at 9:38 am

During the campaign, Trump had to say what appealed to voters just like any other politician. It remains to be seen how he'll adjust to the responsibilities of the office.

I'm not hopeful, but he just can't round up 11 million people and deport them. That is hype.

The terrible consequences are going to be the actions by the radicals who admire him and others who work for and with him and who will be appointed by him, including in Congress and the courts.

I can see Trump, with his complete unsuitability for the indescribable demands of the office, having way too much on his mind to attend to gross injustices happening outside Washington.


Posted by Jack Hickey
a resident of Woodside: Emerald Hills
on Nov 9, 2016 at 9:45 am

Jack Hickey is a registered user.

That would put Johnson and Weld, my candidates, at about 6%. Contrary to what some commentators were saying, those would have been Trump votes. Hillary got trounced.

Now, with a Republican President and Congress, maybe we can get on with the unwinding of Obamacare, elimination of the Department of Education, individually managed retirement accounts, deregulation, etc.


Posted by HelloHanalei
a resident of Menlo Park: Suburban Park/Lorelei Manor/Flood Park Triangle
on Nov 9, 2016 at 10:20 am

HelloHanalei is a registered user.

"Now, with a Republican President and Congress, maybe we can get on with the unwinding of Obamacare, elimination of the Department of Education"

Terrific. So uninsured people can go hang? Functioning public school systems should be dismantled in favor of the charter system, which is completely untested in any sort of large scale? How about if Trump undoes the EPA? Reverses Roe v Wade and the Equal Rights Act? All of these things and much more are entirely possible in this new world order. Our country is going to have some pretty serious buyer's remorse in a year or two, but at that point it will be too late for all of us. Thanks a bunch to everyone who voted for this nutbag.


Posted by Apple
a resident of Atherton: other
on Nov 9, 2016 at 11:43 am

Trump won because he had a populist message and represented the anti-establishment. Clinton represents the establishment. The biggest reason why someone voted for Trump or Clinton was whether she felt the American Dream was working for her or not.

Enough voters were willing to ignore the crazy things Trump has said because the American economy has left them behind. They are desperate to shake up the system. That's the political message to take away.

Looking back, this message was exceedingly obvious during the primaries. How does a cheapskate who has never held political office able to win the Republican nomination? How does he get independents and Republicans to come out to vote for him without any real get out the vote operation? It's because he's speaking to those people's concerns. And those people showed up in droves, especially in the Midwest.

Bernie Sanders pushed Clinton deep into primary season with his populist message as well.


Posted by In reality
a resident of Atherton: other
on Nov 9, 2016 at 1:51 pm

This is classic - whenever a republican wins, the democrats go on and on about how the republicans should work together with the democrats to govern. But when the democrats are in power, they just laugh at republicans and do whatever they want - example ACA Obamacare - shoved down our throat - no public disclosure of what was in it. No republicans voted for it. How's that for offering something both sides can agree on?

Face it - no matter how many bogus voting practices (giving 60,000 felons voting rights in Virginia for example), this time you lost. Go away and come up with a better candidate next time instead of the flawed grifter and her husband/family/foundation entourage.

And in 4 years, let's hope the republicans have a revamped and secure voting process in place.

Here are some ideas:
1) purple dye for the thumb after voting (can only vote one time)
2) **numbered** paper ballots
3) a copy made on the spot of what you voted, and handed to you
4) count kept of all ballots put in boxes
5) HD video of every last person entering voting booths, then published
6) HD video of every ballot box, until counted, then published
7) illegal aliens who vote are incarcerated, and can NEVER be citizens
8) vote fraud means incarceration, and NEVER voting again, nor helping with elections
9) no more "early voting" since it means extra time for fraud. Keep them open late.

PS - I hope all you Clinton trolls (maybe mostly the same person?) that have been noising up this otherwise useful community forum for months receive your paycheck from the PACs before the campaign money runs out. $600M only goes so far today....


Posted by HelloHanalei
a resident of Menlo Park: Suburban Park/Lorelei Manor/Flood Park Triangle
on Nov 9, 2016 at 2:45 pm

HelloHanalei is a registered user.

"Flawed grifter"

You're talking about Trump, right? The man has so many skeletons in his closet that if you opened the door you'd be buried under a pile of bones.

I talked with someone recently who lives in NYC and has sat in numerous meetings with Trump, and he says that Trump is more corrupt than anyone he's ever met. This guy's a lawyer who has had dealings with some truly bad dudes, so that's saying something.

As for voter fraud, that's traditionally the Republican's bailiwick. In fact, they engaged in voter suppression and intimidation during this very election.

And as for the Democrats doing whatever they want, you do realize that the Republicans have had the majority in Congress virtually every year since the Reagan administration, don't you? The *only* way that President Obama could move much-needed legislation forward was through Executive Order, since the obstructionist Republican majority blocked the Executive Branch at every turn. Just recently, they unethically blocked a SITTING PRESIDENT from appointing a Supreme Court Justice, as he is constitutionally allowed to do, because they wanted to let the clock run out in hopes their candidate was elected. That's reprehensible.

In short, please don't lecture Democrats about morality or proper governance. The Republicans don't have a leg to stand on in that argument.


Posted by Democrats are Hypocrites
a resident of Menlo Park: The Willows
on Nov 9, 2016 at 10:04 pm

Hello Hanalei complains that Republicans blocked Obama's nomination. But when Joe Biden argued that the President make no SCOTUS appointments during his last year all the liberal Democrats were in complete agreement. You can not find one Senate Democrat who disagreed with Biden. Not one!

Web Link

It is so typical of the Democrats to hold themselves to a different standard. That is why when the dust clear it will be Trump 306 Clinton 232. The public has had enough of the Democrats lies, slanders, and deceit.

The Democrts partners in crime, the printed press, has no credibility at all. Pravda is less biased than the Washington Post, New York Times, LA Times and the San Jose Mercury news when it comes to political reporting. The American press is merely an extension of the dishonest and disreputable Democratic National Committee. This is the Committee that threw Bernie Sanders under the bus so that the corrupt, crooked Hillary could get the nomination. All those newspapers should be registered with the FEC as PACs.

Obama better get the pardon pen out because Hillary would most certainly be convicted of violating numerous Federal statutes and that women's health is so fragile that she could not survive in prison. She is suffering from some sort of seizure disorder.


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